The two lines the argument isn't the line, it's how far up you go
Both routes solve to 428 off the GPS, so the line was never the real question. The corridor narrows the whole way up — and that is the question.
At 290 you land where it's 40 wide, with the 25-yard pinch just beyond it. At 250–260 you're still in the 68.
The fairway narrows the further you hit it measured off the map, converted to yards
Where a 250–260 ball finishes. Clears the 65-yard penalty gate with something to spare, and misses both ways are survivable.
Well under the 65-yard penalty gate. Even in a perfect world that is not a driver number — 40 is the bare minimum for trouble you can play out of, and this isn't that.
Bunker to native, further up still. In play any time it's downwind or firm — and nobody's pattern fits a 25-yard slot.
The call commit before you tee it
250–260
- Aim
- Normal ball, less club. Nothing manufactured.
- Approach
- ~177. Water long-left, sand front-left. Center of green.
- Never
- Reach for driver because the yardage says so. That's how 40 becomes 25.
Make par and you gain half a stroke on the field without doing anything special — 45% of the field made bogey or worse here. One ball in the native is a double, and −1.47 erases almost three pars.
Your five rules all five land in the same place
You thought driver first. This is the hole where you adjust down.
Driver lands where it's 40 wide. Nowhere near 65.
Pinches to 25 beyond that. Not a slot you challenge.
Same shape, less club. The dogleg is an aim, not a shot.
153 or 177 — neither is a wedge. Nothing to buy.